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Castonguay INTELLIGENCE ANALYSI S FLAWED WITH BIASE S Major J R P Castonguay JCSP Exercise Solo Flight Disclaimer Opinions expressed remain those of the author and do not represent Department of National Defence or Canadian Forces policy This paper may no

INTELLIGENCE ANALYSI S FLAWED WITH BIASE S Major J R P Castonguay JCSP Exercise Solo Flight Disclaimer Opinions expressed remain those of the author and do not represent Department of National Defence or Canadian Forces policy This paper may not be used without written permission ? Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada as represented by the Minister of National Defence PCEMI Exercice Solo Flight Avertissement Les opinons exprimées n ? engagent que leurs auteurs et ne reflètent aucunement des politiques du Ministère de la Défense nationale ou des Forces canadiennes Ce papier ne peut être reproduit sans autorisation écrite ? Sa Majesté la Reine du Chef du Canada représentée par le ministre de la Défense nationale CANADIAN FORCES COLLEGE ?? COLLÈGE DES FORCES CANADIENNES JCSP ?? PCEMI ?? DS INTELLIGENCE STUDIES - PERSUASIVE ESSAY INTELLIGENCE ANALYSI S FLAWED WITH BIAS ES By Par le Major J R P Castonguay ??This paper was written by a student attending the Canadian Forces College in fulfilment of one of the requirements of the Course of Studies The paper is a scholastic document and thus contains facts and opinions which the author alone considered appropriate and correct for the subject It does not necessarily reflect the policy or the opinion of any agency including the Government of Canada and the Canadian Department of National Defence This paper may not be released quoted or copied except with the express permission of the Canadian Department of National Defence ? ??La présente étude a été rédigée par un stagiaire du Collège des Forces canadiennes pour satisfaire à l'une des exigences du cours L'étude est un document qui se rapporte au cours et contient donc des faits et des opinions que seul l'auteur considère appropriés et convenables au sujet Elle ne reflète pas nécessairement la politique ou l'opinion d'un organisme quelconque y compris le gouvernement du Canada et le ministère de la Défense nationale du Canada Il est défendu de diffuser de citer ou de reproduire cette étude sans la permission expresse du ministère de la Défense nationale ? Word Count Compte de mots INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS FLAWED WITH BIASES I NTRODUCTION The Canadian Armed Forces CAF Doctrine highlights the importance of analysis within the intelligence cycle in that only by a thorough analytical process can information be transformed into intelligence Th e Royal Canadian Air Force RCAF doctrine further and informs that in a military context ??information is not enough and that it must be processed into knowledge in order to be useful to commanders ? This doctrine also advances that only by true understanding and knowledge superiority can a commander truly leverage the intelligence cycle and position itself for success It then behooves one to wonder why most of the focus goes to ward collection activities such as IMINT SIGINT and HUMINT Analysis is an important part of the intelligence process As such only by understanding its main challenges can one hope to improve the value it provides to the decision make rs This paper